Massenbach-Letter. NEWS 14.07.17

Massenbach-Letter. News

  • Article by Vladimir Putin published in the German business newspaper Handelsblatt
  • Wir teilen die deutschen Prioritäten- Von Wladimir Putin, Präsident der Russischen Föderation
  • G-20 Leaders Find Trade Compromises but Are Split on Climate
  • Europe’s Mass Migration: The Leaders vs. the Public
  • Confronting Africa’s Water Challenge
  • Barandat: In eigener Sache: China – One Belt-One Road. Chinas neue Seidenstraßen. Vortrag bei IHK Schwerin
  • World Still Knee-Deep in Crude Oil Despite Cuts
  • Deutsche Bank Research: Deutsche Staatsfinanzen: Überschüsse dank Vollbeschäftigung und Nullzins, aber Demografie droht!
  • Atkam Suliman: “Krieg und Chaos in Nahost – Eine arabische Sicht” – suggested reading / Lesetipp

From our Russian News Desk. (The views expressed are the author‘s own.)

  • Germany, the USA, and Russia in the Changing World – July 7, 2017
  • Russia-Germany-USA in the 2000s–2010s.
  • Fifth Task Force Position Paper Released – A group of prominent Members and Supporters of the Pan-European Task Force on Cooperation in Greater Europe, including former foreign and defence ministers and senior officials from Russia, the United Kingdom, Turkey, Poland, Germany, Italy and Finland has joined forces to appeal to the leadership of the countries in the Euro-Atlantic area to halt the downward spiral in West-Russia relations and manage its risks better through developing a more stable and sustainable security relationship.
  • Kathy Leach: UK Needs to Look at Wider European Neighborhood
  • Infographics. The statistics of the number of victims in the North Caucasian Federal District regions for a period of 6 years
  • Reasons behind Increased Recourse to Sanctions in the Region

Massenbach*WSJ:G-20 Leaders Find Trade Compromises but Are Split on Climate –

Communiqué reflects differences between U.S., other nations on climate change

HAMBURG—Leaders from the Group of 20 countries vowed to fight protectionism and secure fair trade, finding a broad consensus after President Donald Trump’s defiantly unilateral stance exposed a rift between the world’s leading economies.

In light of the broad political pushback against globalization and the rise in antiestablishment forces in recent years, however, the G-20 stepped back from an unequivocal commitment to free trade for the first time since its inaugural summit in 2008. Instead, it recognized the need for defensive measures in pursuit of balanced trade.

In another unprecedented move, the group broke from unanimity in its final communiqué, splitting off the U.S. position on climate change from that of the other members.

In the summit’s concluding statement, the G-20 noted “the importance of reciprocal and mutually advantageous trade and investment frameworks.” But in a nod to concerns of Mr. Trump and other leaders over trade imbalances, the group also said it would “strive to ensure a level playing field.” The phrase seemed to reflect concerns of the U.S. and some European member states over China’s expanding footprint in the global economy.

Securing the support of Mr. Trump, whose “America First” policies pose a potential clash with the international economic order, was the dominant theme among officials as the gathering drew to a close.

“The negotiations on the climate issue reflected dissent—everyone against the United States of America,” said German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who held the rotating G-20 presidency over the last year. “And that the negotiations on the trade issue were especially tough was also a result of the United States taking certain positions.”

In a tweet on Saturday, Mr. Trump wrote: “The #G20Summit was a wonderful success and carried out beautifully by Chancellor Angela Merkel. Thank you!”

A European official said the talks demonstrated that a new—and different—international consensus on economic issues could be slowly rebuilt despite the challenges thrown up by Mr. Trump’s positions.

One bellwether will be an international effort to curb the world’s excess capacity of steel, as Mr. Trump considers unilateral measures to protect the U.S. market. On Saturday, the G-20 agreed to outline by November steps to temper the global overcapacity upending local markets.

“All things considered, my impression is that we’re getting back in small steps in many areas to a greater degree of business as usual,” the official said.

Yet some leaders warned the statement won’t close deep divides on trade that have emerged since Mr. Trump’s election.

French President Emmanuel Macron took swipes at Mr. Trump and others during the two-day summit for equating fair trade with avoiding bilateral deficits. Brandishing his smart phone during the session on trade, Mr. Macron said many products consumed in G-20 countries rely on global production chains, according to delegates. Mr. Trump had left the room when the French leader spoke, they said.

“A text does not efface tensions that exist and will continue to exist on this subject for a long time,” Mr. Macron said during a press briefing as the summit concluded, describing the trade approach adopted by the U.S. president as “a profound error.”

The U.S. wasn’t alone in its views on trade, officials said. On some points, such as promoting support for defensive measures against unfair trade, Mr. Trump was joined by other leaders, including the Turkish and EU presidents and Mr. Macron.

For most world leaders, however, one of the summit’s achievements was getting Mr. Trump to back international organizations that underpin global trade.

Ahead of the summit, G-20 officials cited concerns that Mr. Trump would go beyond his decision to scrap a 12-country trans-Pacific trade pact and renegotiate America’s trade agreement with Canada and Mexico to undermine broader platforms such as the World Trade Organization. The White House has launched a review of the WTO, with an eye toward proposing reforms. But in Hamburg the U.S. joined the other G-20 members in reiterating a commitment to safeguard rules-based global trade under the WTO umbrella.

‘Working together isn’t just the best option, it’s the only option.’

—Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau

“Working together isn’t just the best option, it’s the only option. Indeed it’s the only way we can meet the challenges of the 21st century,” Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said at the end of the summit.

Leaders overseeing 80% of the global economy also need to address the anxieties of people disenfranchised by globalization, Mr. Trudeau said, adding that the G-20 had heard the concerns of tens of thousands of demonstrators—a small but violent section of whom rioted in Hamburg throughout the summit.

Signaling the difficulties ahead in squaring cooperation with Mr. Trump’s demands, G-20 members wrangled for days to find a joint position on climate change in the aftermath of Mr. Trump’s decision to reject the Paris Agreement against global warming.

In the end, they could only split the difference. Germany, a staunch supporter of action against global warming, led the “very difficult” negotiations to reaffirm 19 members’ commitment to the Paris accord while accommodating Mr. Trump’s stance, officials said.

To that end, Mr. Trump’s negotiators were able to insert a line into the communiqué on the U.S. helping other countries “access and use fossil fuels more cleanly and efficiently,” according to an EU official.

“The inclusion of this paragraph is the trade-off of having a consensual approach,” the EU official said. “Obviously, to have in the text a reference to these kind of energy sources is not something we like.”

Mr. Macron’s team pushed hard to isolate the U.S. on climate change, a French official said, and safeguard the 2015 accord signed by every country in the world except Syria and Nicaragua. Signatories overwhelmingly rallied behind the deal after Mr. Trump’s decision to pull the U.S. out.

“We don’t want any contagion,” the French official said.

In a move that could further isolate (sic? UvM) the U.S, Mr. Macron announced a Dec. 12 gathering to mark the second anniversary of the Paris accord, with a focus on financing environmental projects.

While isolated in leaving the climate deal, Mr. Trump wasn’t alone in criticizing its implementation so far. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that despite joining the G-20 communiqué in reaffirming Paris Agreement commitments, Ankara would withhold ratification because financial pledges by Mr. Macron’s predecessor hadn’t yet been delivered.

“Following America’s step, our stance currently is also that this should not pass in parliament,” Mr. Erdogan said, adding that the communiqué papered over unease about the climate pact.

Another sticking point at the annual G-20 gathering was migration. Russia and China blocked an effort by the European Union—supported in principle by the U.S.—to pursue United Nations sanctions against human traffickers, according to EU officials. But G-20 leaders did commit to countering migrant smuggling and human trafficking for the first time in their conclusions, without offering any specifics.

“The reference to countering migrant smugglers and bringing them to justice is a very important step,” another EU official said.

Despite the lack of greater consensus on migration and climate change, the G-20 members did find language suggesting a shared commitment to staving off what many officials had flagged ahead of the summit as a major risk: trade wars.

“International trade and investment are important engines of growth,” the G-20 leaders said. “We will strive to ensure a level playing field, in particular by promoting a favorable environment for trade and investment.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/g-20-leaders-set-to-reach-compromise-on-trade-at-summit-1499513260

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From our Russian News Desk. (The views expressed are the author‘s own.)

  • Germany, the USA, and Russia in the Changing World – July 7, 2017
  • Russia-Germany-USA in the 2000s–2010s.
  • Fifth Task Force Position Paper Released – A group of prominent Members and Supporters of the Pan-European Task Force on Cooperation in Greater Europe, including former foreign and defence ministers and senior officials from Russia, the United Kingdom, Turkey, Poland, Germany, Italy and Finland has joined forces to appeal to the leadership of the countries in the Euro-Atlantic area to halt the downward spiral in West-Russia relations and manage its risks better through developing a more stable and sustainable security relationship.
  • Kathy Leach: UK Needs to Look at Wider European Neighborhood
  • Infographics. The statistics of the number of victims in the North Caucasian Federal District regions for a period of 6 years
  • Reasons behind Increased Recourse to Sanctions in the Region

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Article by Vladimir Putin published in the German business newspaper Handelsblatt

July 6, 2017

07:00

Ahead of my trip to Germany to take part in the Summit of the Group of Twenty, I would like to share some thoughts about cooperation within the G20 framework with the readers of Handelsblatt, one of the most popular and reputable German newspapers.

Over the years of its existence, the Group of Twenty has established itself as an important mechanism for aligning the interests and positions of the world’s leading economies. By taking coordinated action, the G20 contributed to the adoption of necessary measures that not only helped overcome the financial and economic crisis, but also laid the foundation for improving global governance, which has found itself in dire straits for a number of reasons. Importantly, by working together we have been able to find solutions to a number of long-standing issues….(For more see att.)

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/54988************************************************************************************************************************

Policy= res publica

Freudenberg-Pilster* Deutsche Bank Research: Deutsche Staatsfinanzen: Überschüsse dank Vollbeschäftigung und Nullzins, aber Demografie droht!

Die deutschen Staatsfinanzen stehen derzeit im internationalen Vergleich sehr gut da, dank starker Konjunktur und Nullzinsen. Die günstige Entwicklung der deutschen Staatsfinanzen dürfte kurz- bis mittelfristig aufgrund dynamisch wachsender Staatseinnahmen – und trotz hohem Ausgabenwachstum – andauern. Die Staatsfinanzen profitieren derzeit sehr stark von einer brummenden Wirtschaft, Niedrigzinsen und einer „demografischen Atempause“. Steigende Zinsen und eine alternde Gesellschaft dürften die öffentlichen Finanzen ab Mitte der nächsten Dekade erheblich unter Druck setzen. Doch die langfristigen Risiken für die Staatsfinanzen scheinen im aktuellen Bundestagswahlkampf keine größere Rolle zu spielen.

http://www.dbresearch.de/MAIL/DBR_INTERNET_DE-PROD/PROD0000000000447009.pdf

****************************************************************************************************************** Politics: From Vision to Action

Barandat* In eigener Sache: China – One Belt-One Road.Chinas neue Seidenstraßen. Vortrag bei IHK Schwerin

http://www.tv-schwerin.de/mediathek/1541/Chinas_neue_Seidenstrassen.html

Confronting Africa’s Water Challenge
Akinwumi Adesina is President of the African Development Bank (AfDB)

JUN 27, 2017 … Owing to the effects of climate change, Africa is experiencing its worst drought since 1945, especially in Southern Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia, and Northern Nigeria …

We need to build resilient systems to ensure access to potable water for all people, and to improve water-delivery and sanitation provisions in Africa’s rapidly growing urban areas. We should begin by expanding Africans’ capacity to harness wastewater. With investment and proper management, wastewater can become a sustainable source of wealth for many Africans …

The AfDB supports an integrated urban water-management model (IUWM) that, in keeping with United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 6, enables communities to derive a sustainable income from management of urban liquid and solid waste …

Only a few African cities collect and treat any more than 20% of the wastewater generated through centralized wastewater-management systems.

The remaining 80% constitutes a huge untapped source of potentially valuable liquid and solid waste. With the right investment, foresight, and commitment, this underappreciated resource can create jobs and deliver sustainable growth …

Wastewater management is thus a central feature of the AfDB’s strategic priorities, known as the High 5s …

In collaboration with the Global Water Partnership, the AWF is implementing IUWM systems in five African cities …

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is also tapping into the AfDB’s expertise … Improving the quality of life for all Africans will require political commitment, public-private partnerships, and robust public involvement. With the High 5s framework, the AfDB is working to bring these three ingredients together.

All stakeholders – in Africa and internationally – must redouble our efforts to ensure clean, affordable water for all, and to support African countries suffering through a historic drought. We have a moral obligation to do so. After all, water means life.

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/africa-drought-wastewater-management-by-akinwumi-adesina-2017-06

DEUTSCH: Die Lösung der Wasserprobleme Afrikas …
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/africa-drought-wastewater-management-by-akinwumi-adesina-2017-06/german

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Middle East

World Still Knee-Deep in Crude Oil Despite Cuts

Elevated stocks of crude continue to weigh on global oil prices,

and markets are facing the likelihood that elevated crude inventories will persist much longer than expected a few months ago.

In an effort to erode global inventories and support higher prices, 11 OPEC members, along with several non-OPEC nations, in May 2017 extended an agreement to reduce global crude output by as much as 1.8 million barrels per day (mb/d) through March 2018. However, rising output from the U.S, Libya and Nigeria will likely replace most, if not all, of those barrels before the end of 2017. This has led many analysts to conclude that global crude markets will find themselves in surplus again by early next year. (tbc att.)

https://www.dallasfed.org/research/energy/energyupdate/2017/en1702

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*Massenbach’s Recommendation*

Wir teilen die deutschen Prioritäten
Von Wladimir Putin, Präsident der Russischen Föderation

06.07.2017 … Nun muss es darum gehen, den Protektionismus aufzuhalten, neue Modelle des Wirtschaftens zu ermöglichen und ihre negativen Auswirkungen abzufedern … Als Instrument des globalen Krisenmanagements bleibt die G20 auch angesichts zunehmender geopolitischer Risiken und Ungewissheiten effektiv. In vielerlei Hinsicht ist dies dem exklusiven Verantwortungsbewusstsein zu verdanken, das die jeweilige G20-Präsidentschaft im Umgang mit ihren Aufgaben zeigt … bietet eine willkommene Gelegenheit, besonders dringliche Fragen der globalen Tagesordnung zur Sprache zu bringen. Wir teilen die Prioritäten der deutschen Präsidentschaft und sind bereit, an ihrer Umsetzung zu arbeiten … Wir begrüßen die Erweiterung der G20-Agenda. Hiermit meine ich Fragen der nachhaltigen Entwicklung, des Klimawandels, der Terrorismus- und Korruptionsbekämpfung, der Gesundheits-, Migrations- und Flüchtlingspolitik. Äußerst wichtig ist es aus unserer Sicht auch, dass durch das Engagement der vorjährigen chinesischen und der diesjährigen deutschen Präsidentschaft die G20 sich mittlerweile zunehmend der digitalen Wirtschaft als einem der Wachstumstreiber und einem neuen Faktor des globalen Krisenmanagements widmet. Wir stehen vor wahrlich umfangreichen Aufgaben. Frühere Wirtschaftsmodelle sind fast ausgeschöpft. Der Protektionismus entwickelt sich zu einer Verhaltensnorm. Und zu seiner verdeckten Form werden einseitige, politisch motivierte Sanktionsbeschränkungen bei Investitionen, Handel und insbesondere Technologietransfer … Ich bin der Überzeugung, dass nur offene, auf einheitlichen Normen und Standards basierende Handelsverbindungen das Wachstum der globalen Wirtschaft stimulieren und eine fortschreitende Entwicklung zwischenstaatlicher Beziehungen fördern können … Ein neues Thema im G20-Rahmen ist die Informationssicherheit. Konsequent tritt Russland für einen freien Zugang zu Kommunikationstechnologien einschließlich des Internets ein. Große Bedeutung messen wir dem Schutz von Menschenrechten im Informationsraum bei. Wie in jedem anderen Bereich darf dabei die Freiheit im digitalen Raum keinesfalls durch Willkür und Straflosigkeit ersetzt werden. Das führt zum Unwesen der Cyberverbrecher, Hackergruppierungen und all derer, die unter Einsatz von Hochtechnologien sich an der Unantastbarkeit des Privatlebens von Bürgerinnen und Bürgern beziehungsweise der staatlichen Souveränität vergreifen. Russland als eines der ersten Länder, die diese gefährliche Herausforderung erkannten, setzt sich schon seit Jahren für den Abschluss universeller internationaler Uno-Vereinbarungen gegen derartig negative Erscheinungen ein. Wir rechnen hier mit einer positiven, interessierten Reaktion seitens anderer Länder. In die Agenda der G20 sollten auch Fragen der digitalen Kompetenz als ein Schlüsselelement des Verbraucherschutzes im·E-Commerce aufgenommen werden …

http://www.handelsblatt.com/my/politik/international/gastbeitrag-von-wladimir-putin-wir-teilen-die-deutschen-prioritaeten/20020620.html

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Europe’s Mass Migration: The Leaders vs. the Public

by Douglas Murray
July 9, 2017 at 5:00 am

  • "[T]he more generous you are, the more word gets around about this — which in turn motivates more people to leave Africa. Germany cannot possibly take in the huge number of people who are wanting to make their way to Europe." — Bill Gates.
  • The annual survey of EU citizens, recently carried out by Project 28, found a unanimity on the issue of migration almost unequalled across an entire continent. The survey found that 76% of the public across the EU believe that the EU’s handling of the migration crisis of recent years has been "poor". There is not one country in the EU in which the majority of the public differs from that consensus.
  • At the same time as the public has known that what the politicians are doing is unsustainable, there has been a vast effort to control what the European publics have been allowed to say. German Chancellor Angela Merkel went so far as to urge Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg to limit posts on social media that were critical of her policies.

Suggested reading / Lesetipp:

Atkam Suliman: “Krieg und Chaos in Nahost – Eine arabische Sicht”

Millionen Menschen auf der Flucht, auch zu uns nach Europa. Blinde Gewalt überall, auch bei uns in Europa. Krieg, Flucht und Terror drohen überhandzunehmen.

Was ist nur zwischen dem Westen und dem Nahen Osten in den letzten Jahren passiert?

Dieses Buch ist ein Aufschrei gegen Befreiungs-,Demokratisierungs-, Präventiv-, Schutz-, Anti-Terror-,Pro-Frühlings-, Welt- und Wie-Auch-Immer-Kriege

in Nahost.

Mit viel Sachverstand, Gefühl und Ironie richtet der ehemalige Al-Dschasira-Korrespondent einen speziellen, arabischen Blick auf die Entwicklungen

der letzten 25 Jahre im Orient. Der Autor zeichnet die unsichtbare Verbindungslinie zwischen dem Islamischen Staat, dem Arabischen Frühling, dem Irakkrieg,

den Angriffen vom 11. September 2001 und dem Zweiten Golfkrieg.

Er versucht das Muster hinter den »Dingen« zu erkennen und nimmt dabei seine Leser mit auf eine spannende analytische, journalistische und biografische Reise.

About the author: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aktham_Suliman

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see our letter on: http://www.massenbach-world.de/41259.html

*Herausgegeben von Udo von Massenbach, Bärbel Freudenberg-Pilster, Joerg Barandat*

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UdovonMassenbachMailJoergBarandat

07-09-17 Europe’s Mass Migration_ The Leaders vs. the Public.pdf

07-06-17 Vladimir Putin published intheGerman business newspaper Handelsblatt.pdf

07-06-17 Handelsblatt_Gastbeitrag von Wladimir Putin.pdf

07-11-17 Germany, the USA, and Russia in the Changing World.docx

07-11-17 World Still Knee-Deep in Crude Oil Despite Cuts_DallasFed.pdf

A5 Flyer Aktam Suliman.pdf

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